Poole Town 0-1 AFC Totton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.5pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.0pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Poole Town EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 57%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.49/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.38
+13% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +150%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Poole Town
0W-1D-1L
AWAY AFC Totton
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
29.03.2024 Poole Town Poole Town 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
16.08.2023 AFC Totton AFC Totton 1-0 HT 0-0 Poole Town Poole Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Poole Town vs AFC Totton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton nicked a narrow win over Poole Town 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Totton led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Poole Town and 0.50 for AFC Totton.

What was the final score of Poole Town vs AFC Totton?

Poole Town 0-1 AFC Totton in the England - Non League Premier on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Poole Town vs AFC Totton?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Poole Town 28%, draw 27%, AFC Totton 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✗ BTTS Yes
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