Ashton United vs Gainsborough Trinity Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ashton United v Gainsborough Trinity — Team-Based Signals
Ashton United vs Gainsborough Trinity Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-1
Ashton United
İNGNLP
2-3
HT 1-0
Gainsborough Trinity
İNGNLP
2-0
HT 2-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
2-1
HT 1-1
Gainsborough Trinity
İNGNLP
1-1
HT 0-0
Ashton United
İNGNLP
Ashton United 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity — Actual Match Statistics
Ashton United saw off Gainsborough Trinity 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ashton United as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Ashton United had 37% of the ball to Gainsborough Trinity's 63%, shots finished 5-8.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Ashton United and 1.80 for Gainsborough Trinity.
What was the final score of Ashton United vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Ashton United 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity in the England - Non League Premier on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Gainsborough Trinity?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 44%, draw 26%, Gainsborough Trinity 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.