Gainsborough Trinity 0-3 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.86
Over 2.5
39%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gainsborough Trinity EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.30/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.69
-15% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
346 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ashton United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Ashton United Ashton United 0-2 HT 0-1 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
17.08.2024 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 0-1 HT 0-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
16.03.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 2-0 HT 2-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
24.10.2023 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-2 HT 1-1 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
25.02.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 2-3 HT 1-0 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Gainsborough Trinity Gainsborough Trinity 2-0 HT 2-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gainsborough Trinity
0-3
AWAY Ashton United
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United swept aside Gainsborough Trinity 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ashton United found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Gainsborough Trinity had 55% of the ball to Ashton United's 45%, shots finished 10-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gainsborough Trinity had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Gainsborough Trinity and 1.17 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United?

Gainsborough Trinity 0-3 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gainsborough Trinity vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gainsborough Trinity win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gainsborough Trinity 40%, draw 29%, Ashton United 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gainsborough Trinity) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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