Barwell 3-2 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 9 Aug 2025

📅09/08/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.1
Over 2.5
62%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.6
No
37%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.4pp
37%
BTTS No
42%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.63/2.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.38
+13% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +4%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
264 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St Ives Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Barwell Barwell 3-2 HT 2-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
12.10.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
06.04.2024 Barwell Barwell 3-4 HT 2-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
27.11.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
25.02.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
18.12.2021 Barwell Barwell 4-5 HT 0-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Barwell vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell nicked a narrow win over St Ives Town 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 23% / 40% — and on the day Barwell made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Ives Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barwell and 2.50 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of Barwell vs St Ives Town?

Barwell 3-2 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 09/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Barwell 37%, draw 23%, St Ives Town 40%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (St Ives Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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