Barwell 3-2 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.64
Away
31%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
24%
+7.5pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 38%
-8% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.64/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.58
+8% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
2W-1D-3L
AWAY St Ives Town
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.10.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
06.04.2024 Barwell Barwell 3-4 HT 2-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
27.11.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
25.02.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
18.12.2021 Barwell Barwell 4-5 HT 0-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
28.09.2021 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
3-2
AWAY St Ives Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barwell vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell squeezed past St Ives Town 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Barwell made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Barwell had 58% of the ball to St Ives Town's 42%, shots finished 6-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Ives Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Barwell and 2.33 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of Barwell vs St Ives Town?

Barwell 3-2 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barwell 38%, draw 31%, St Ives Town 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barwell), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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