St Ives Town 0-1 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
34%
3.54
Away
23%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.29
Over 2.5
50%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.3pp
34%
Draw
25%
+9.6pp
23%
Away Win
31%
-8.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
40%
+10.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
60%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
2.10/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.71
+29% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
289 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Barwell
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 17
7 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Barwell Barwell 3-4 HT 2-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
27.11.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
25.02.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
18.12.2021 Barwell Barwell 4-5 HT 0-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
28.09.2021 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell nicked a narrow win over St Ives Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was St Ives Town at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, St Ives Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for St Ives Town and 2.40 for Barwell.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Barwell?

St Ives Town 0-1 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Ives Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 43%, draw 34%, Barwell 23%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St Ives Town) ✗ BTTS Yes
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