Stamford 2-3 Bedford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 12 Oct 2024

Stamford
2-3 HT 2-0
Bedford Town
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Stamford vs Bedford Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
34%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.5
No
38%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.4pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+6.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
62%
-0.6pp
38%
BTTS No
38%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Stamford v Bedford Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stamford EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.96/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.63
+13% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 0.5
POST-MATCH Stamford vs Bedford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town nicked a narrow win over Stamford 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Stamford at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Stamford vs Bedford Town?

Stamford 2-3 Bedford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stamford vs Bedford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stamford win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Stamford 44%, draw 21%, Bedford Town 34%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stamford) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stamford) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
12 Oct 2024
00:00 Gloucester City vs Havant & Waterlooville Analysis →
17:00 Stourbridge vs Royston Town Analysis →
17:00 St Ives Town vs Barwell Analysis →
17:00 Banbury United vs Bromsgrove Sporting Analysis →
17:00 Hitchin Town vs Spalding United Analysis →
17:00 AFC Totton vs Hanwell Town Analysis →