Barwell 3-4 St Ives Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.2pp
36%
Away Win
34%
+2.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.1pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.1pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-2.6pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -6%
1.84/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.05/2.05
+17% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
330 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
1W-1D-2L
AWAY St Ives Town
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
19 Total Shots 16
9 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.11.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 3-1 HT 0-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
25.02.2023 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
18.12.2021 Barwell Barwell 4-5 HT 0-2 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
28.09.2021 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-3 HT 1-2 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
3-4
AWAY St Ives Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 5
13 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Barwell vs St Ives Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Ives Town nicked a narrow win over Barwell 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 27% / 36% — and on the day St Ives Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, Barwell had 53% of the ball to St Ives Town's 47%, shots finished 12-11.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, St Ives Town led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Barwell and 2.50 for St Ives Town.

What was the final score of Barwell vs St Ives Town?

Barwell 3-4 St Ives Town in the England - Non League Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs St Ives Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Barwell 36%, draw 27%, St Ives Town 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (36/27/36) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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