Basingstoke Town 1-3 Bracknell Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Apr 2024

Basingstoke Town
1-3 HT 1-2
Bracknell Town
📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.38
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
28%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.43
No
50%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
38%
+13.9pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.1pp
28%
Away Win
39%
-10.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
66%
-15.4pp
50%
BTTS No
34%
+15.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Basingstoke Town v Bracknell Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Basingstoke Town EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Bracknell Town EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -26%
1.87/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/2.00
+19% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
308 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
5.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Basingstoke Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Bracknell Town
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 9
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.10.2023 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town 4-0 HT 2-0 Basingstoke Town Basingstoke Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bracknell Town got the better of Basingstoke Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Basingstoke Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town?

Basingstoke Town 1-3 Bracknell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Basingstoke Town vs Bracknell Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Basingstoke Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Basingstoke Town 52%, draw 20%, Bracknell Town 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Basingstoke Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Basingstoke Town) ✓ Over 2.5
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