Ilkeston Town 3-0 Atherton Collieries — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
2.89
Over 2.5
71%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.55
No
39%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-5.7pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.3pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.0pp
29%
Under 2.5
31%
-1.9pp
71%
Over 2.5
69%
+1.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.7pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ilkeston Town EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Atherton Collieries EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -12%
2.80/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.75
+37% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
441 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ilkeston Town
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atherton Collieries
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Atherton Collieries Atherton Collieries 2-3 HT 0-1 Ilkeston Town Ilkeston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ilkeston Town
3-0
AWAY Atherton Collieries
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ilkeston Town vs Atherton Collieries
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilkeston Town swept aside Atherton Collieries 3-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ilkeston Town as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (71%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

On the day, Ilkeston Town had 60% of the ball to Atherton Collieries's 40%, shots finished 15-5.

What was the final score of Ilkeston Town vs Atherton Collieries?

Ilkeston Town 3-0 Atherton Collieries in the England - Non League Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ilkeston Town vs Atherton Collieries?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ilkeston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ilkeston Town 60%, draw 17%, Atherton Collieries 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ilkeston Town), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ilkeston Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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