AFC Telford United 1-0 Leamington — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+5.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Leamington EU Bookmakers 29%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.97/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.01
+19% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +63%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Leamington
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Leamington Leamington 1-1 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
21.02.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-1 HT 0-1 Leamington Leamington İCON
01.10.2022 Leamington Leamington 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
28.12.2021 Leamington Leamington 2-2 HT 1-0 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İCON
30.10.2021 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-1 HT 0-0 Leamington Leamington İCON
17.12.2019 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 0-5 HT 0-1 Leamington Leamington FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
1-0
AWAY Leamington
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Leamington
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United squeezed past Leamington 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 60% of the ball to Leamington's 40%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leamington led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for AFC Telford United and 2.00 for Leamington.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Leamington?

AFC Telford United 1-0 Leamington in the England - Non League Premier on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Leamington?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 42%, draw 27%, Leamington 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✓ Under 2.5
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