Leek Town 3-1 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.84
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
31%
+1.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leek Town EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 48%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.15/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/0.79
-18% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +74%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leek Town
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ashton United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.11.2024 Ashton United Ashton United 1-0 HT 0-0 Leek Town Leek Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leek Town
3-1
AWAY Ashton United
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leek Town vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leek Town got the better of Ashton United 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Leek Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Leek Town had 55% of the ball to Ashton United's 45%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Leek Town vs Ashton United?

Leek Town 3-1 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leek Town vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leek Town 32%, draw 29%, Ashton United 39%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ashton United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ashton United) ✓ BTTS Yes
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