Ashton United 1-0 Leek Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

Ashton United
1-0 HT 0-0
Leek Town
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-3 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Ashton United vs Leek Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
37%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.61
No
56%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-9.2pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
25%
+12.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.8pp
56%
BTTS No
42%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ashton United v Leek Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ashton United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Leek Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.87/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/0.99
+8% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -75% / +64%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards –

Ashton United 1-0 Leek Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ashton United
1-0
AWAY Leek Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ashton United vs Leek Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United nicked a narrow win over Leek Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 21% / 38% — and on the day Ashton United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Ashton United had 48% of the ball to Leek Town's 52%, shots finished 13-3.

What was the final score of Ashton United vs Leek Town?

Ashton United 1-0 Leek Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ashton United vs Leek Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ashton United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ashton United 42%, draw 21%, Leek Town 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ashton United), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ashton United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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