AFC Sudbury 3-0 Stratford Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.53
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
36%
-4.4pp
34%
Draw
26%
+8.2pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.3pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Sudbury EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Stratford Town EU Bookmakers 42%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +11%
1.67/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.46
+12% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Sudbury
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Stratford Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
09.12.2023 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury 0-0 HT 0-0 Stratford Town Stratford Town İNGNLP
09.09.2023 Stratford Town Stratford Town 4-2 HT 2-0 AFC Sudbury AFC Sudbury İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Sudbury vs Stratford Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Sudbury ran out comfortable winners over Stratford Town 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 34% / 34%) promised a tight game; AFC Sudbury found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Stratford Town led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Sudbury and 2.00 for Stratford Town.

What was the final score of AFC Sudbury vs Stratford Town?

AFC Sudbury 3-0 Stratford Town in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Sudbury vs Stratford Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stratford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split AFC Sudbury 31%, draw 34%, Stratford Town 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (31/34/34) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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