Spalding United 1-3 Bishops Stortford — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

Spalding United
1-3 HT 0-2
Bishops Stortford
📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2024/2025

Spalding United vs Bishops Stortford Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
47%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Spalding United v Bishops Stortford — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spalding United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bishops Stortford EU Bookmakers 32%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.75/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.51
+7% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Spalding United vs Bishops Stortford
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bishops Stortford got the better of Spalding United 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Spalding United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of Spalding United vs Bishops Stortford?

Spalding United 1-3 Bishops Stortford in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spalding United vs Bishops Stortford?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spalding United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Spalding United 51%, draw 23%, Bishops Stortford 26%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Spalding United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spalding United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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