Bromsgrove Sporting 3-0 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+2.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.5pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
1.09/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/1.91
-27% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
278 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Barwell
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.11.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
15.04.2023 Bromsgrove Sporting 2-0 HT 2-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
12.11.2022 Barwell Barwell 1-1 HT 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
26.03.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-3 HT 1-1 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
20.11.2021 Bromsgrove Sporting 2-0 HT 1-0 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting
3-0
AWAY Barwell
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bromsgrove Sporting vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bromsgrove Sporting cruised past Barwell 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Barwell at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bromsgrove Sporting had 49% of the ball to Barwell's 51%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bromsgrove Sporting had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Bromsgrove Sporting and 1.00 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Bromsgrove Sporting vs Barwell?

Bromsgrove Sporting 3-0 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated an Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bromsgrove Sporting 28%, draw 29%, Barwell 43%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Under 2.5
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