St Ives Town 1-3 Leiston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 16 Nov 2024

📅16/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.09
Draw
33%
3.64
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
44%
-12.4pp
33%
Draw
24%
+8.7pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Ives Town EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Leiston EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +19%
1.86/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.75
+14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
305 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Ives Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Leiston
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.01.2024 St Ives Town St Ives Town 5-0 HT 1-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
12.09.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-1 HT 0-1 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
28.01.2023 Leiston Leiston 1-0 HT 1-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
13.09.2022 St Ives Town St Ives Town 1-2 HT 1-1 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
05.02.2022 St Ives Town St Ives Town 2-1 HT 0-0 Leiston Leiston İNGNLP
12.10.2021 Leiston Leiston 3-1 HT 1-0 St Ives Town St Ives Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH St Ives Town vs Leiston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiston beat St Ives Town 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 33% / 36% — and on the day Leiston made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Leiston led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for St Ives Town and 1.33 for Leiston.

What was the final score of St Ives Town vs Leiston?

St Ives Town 1-3 Leiston in the England - Non League Premier on 16/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Ives Town vs Leiston?

Before kick-off our model rated an Leiston win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split St Ives Town 31%, draw 33%, Leiston 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiston), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leiston) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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