Union Santa Fe 4-0 Gimnasia Mendoza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 3 Feb 2026

📅03/02/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.76
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.45
Over 2.5
37%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.4
No
57%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.95
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.44
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
16.55
X/1
10%
3.96
X/2
7%
9.42
X/X
16%
3.71
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
11%
8.99
2/X
8%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-7.2pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.9pp
63%
Under 2.5
65%
-2.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
35%
+2.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
38%
+5.4pp
57%
BTTS No
62%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +57% / +57%
1.32/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.45
-10% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 69%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
30.1 Crosses 8.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
18.04.2024 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-2 HT 1-1 Gimnasia Mendoza Gimnasia Mendoza ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
4-0
AWAY Gimnasia Mendoza
2.49 xG 0.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 1
418 Passes 281
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 3
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Santa Fe swept aside Gimnasia Mendoza 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Union Santa Fe as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 58% of the ball to Gimnasia Mendoza's 42%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.49 to 0.11.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Union Santa Fe 4-0 Gimnasia Mendoza in the Argentina - Premier League on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Gimnasia Mendoza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 45%, draw 32%, Gimnasia Mendoza 23%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Santa Fe), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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