Piast Gliwice 1-0 Lech Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 3 Feb 2026

Piast Gliwice
1-0 HT 0-0
Lech Poznan
📅03/02/2026 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2025/2026

Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 31% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.43
1/2
9%
26.5
1/X
9%
12.9
X/1
11%
6.49
X/2
13%
5.42
X/X
12%
4.63
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
17%
3.34
2/X
7%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Piast Gliwice v Lech Poznan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -7%
1.08/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.31
-25% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
280 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 79%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
16.7 Crosses 18.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4

Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Piast Gliwice
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Lech Poznan
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 0.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
248 Passes 463
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
03.12.2025 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POLK
24.05.2025 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
29.11.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
10.12.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
22.07.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-2 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
12.03.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL

Piast Gliwice 1-0 Lech Poznan — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Piast Gliwice
1-0
AWAY Lech Poznan
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 9
FAQ Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Piast Gliwice edged past Lech Poznan 1-0 in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 3 Feb 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Piast Gliwice had 52% of the ball to Lech Poznan's 48%, shots finished 12-20.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Piast Gliwice and 1.00 for Lech Poznan.

What was the final score of Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan?

Piast Gliwice 1-0 Lech Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Piast Gliwice 33%, draw 28%, Lech Poznan 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lech Poznan), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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