Lech Poznan 1-0 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.37
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.18
Over 2.5
56%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.9
No
43%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
69%
-18.2pp
26%
Draw
19%
+7.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
49%
+8.1pp
43%
BTTS No
51%
-8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lech Poznan EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 15%
-1% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.01/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.33
+15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +13%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
433 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 71%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
21.6 Crosses 18.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lech Poznan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.70 xG 1.15
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
446 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2024 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 0-0 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
10.12.2023 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 0-1 HT 0-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
22.07.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-2 HT 1-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
12.03.2023 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-1 HT 0-0 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
28.08.2022 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan 1-0 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
08.05.2022 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-2 HT 0-1 Lech Poznan Lech Poznan POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lech Poznan
1-0
AWAY Piast Gliwice
0.89 xG 1.08
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
418 Passes 345
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Lech Poznan edged past Piast Gliwice 1-0 in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24 May 2025.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 56% and both teams to score was close to even at 57%.

On the day, Lech Poznan had 55% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 45%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 0.89 to 1.08.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lech Poznan have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lech Poznan and 0.67 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice?

Lech Poznan 1-0 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lech Poznan win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Lech Poznan 50%, draw 26%, Piast Gliwice 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lech Poznan) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lech Poznan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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