Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.8pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.1pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.45/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.93
-9% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +22%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
21.2 Crosses 20.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.76
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
330 Passes 320
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2024 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-1 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
18.02.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
02.11.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POLK
11.08.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
13.05.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
30.10.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1-2
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.93 xG 1.42
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
264 Passes 281
73% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow nicked a narrow win over Zaglebie Lubin 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Cracovia Krakow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 50% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 50%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.93 to 1.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.17 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow?

Zaglebie Lubin 1-2 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 34%, draw 29%, Cracovia Krakow 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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