Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Pogon Szczecin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.4pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Pogon Szczecin EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -12%
1.65/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.69
+27% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
347 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 81%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
21.7 Crosses 18.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.22 xG 1.95
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
335 Passes 303
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 26
24 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-1 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
26.04.2024 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-2 HT 2-1 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
03.04.2024 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 0-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POLK
28.10.2023 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 2-1 HT 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
11.02.2023 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin POL
31.07.2022 Pogon Szczecin Pogon Szczecin 1-0 HT 1-0 Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jagiellonia Bialystok
1-1
AWAY Pogon Szczecin
0.81 xG 1.27
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
355 Passes 152
85% Pass Accuracy 65%
35 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jagiellonia Bialystok and Pogon Szczecin shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 25% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Jagiellonia Bialystok had 64% of the ball to Pogon Szczecin's 36%, shots finished 17-8, expected goals 0.81 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jagiellonia Bialystok and 1.33 for Pogon Szczecin.

What was the final score of Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin?

Jagiellonia Bialystok 1-1 Pogon Szczecin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jagiellonia Bialystok win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Jagiellonia Bialystok 39%, draw 25%, Pogon Szczecin 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jagiellonia Bialystok) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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