Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 Widzew Lodz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-14.5pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.7pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 14%
-1% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.87/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.81
-3% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
19.9 Crosses 14.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Widzew Lodz
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
1.87 xG 0.65
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
400 Passes 289
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 11
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 2-3 HT 1-2 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
27.04.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
29.10.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.04.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
02.10.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rakow Czestochowa
2-1
AWAY Widzew Lodz
3.57 xG 0.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
336 Passes 327
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
31 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rakow Czestochowa vs Widzew Lodz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa squeezed past Widzew Lodz 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rakow Czestochowa as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Rakow Czestochowa had 50% of the ball to Widzew Lodz's 50%, shots finished 18-7, expected goals 3.57 to 0.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rakow Czestochowa's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Rakow Czestochowa and 0.60 for Widzew Lodz.

What was the final score of Rakow Czestochowa vs Widzew Lodz?

Rakow Czestochowa 2-1 Widzew Lodz in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rakow Czestochowa vs Widzew Lodz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Rakow Czestochowa 57%, draw 21%, Widzew Lodz 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
24 May 2025
18:30 Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Analysis →
18:30 Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice Analysis →
18:30 Lechia Gdansk vs Katowice Analysis →
18:30 Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce Analysis →
18:30 Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Analysis →
18:30 Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin Analysis →