Widzew Lodz 2-3 Rakow Czestochowa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 30 Nov 2024

📅30/11/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.29
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.57
1/2
9%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.55
X/1
11%
7.04
X/2
13%
4.44
X/X
14%
4.22
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
17%
2.91
2/X
10%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
27%
+2.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Widzew Lodz EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa EU Bookmakers 49%
+5% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
1.15/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.99
+2% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 81%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
16.1 Crosses 19.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Widzew Lodz
0W-2D-2L
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
0.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.65 xG 1.87
44% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
289 Passes 400
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-1 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
29.10.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 1-1 HT 0-1 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
16.04.2023 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa 2-0 HT 1-0 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz POL
02.10.2022 Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz 0-0 HT 0-0 Rakow Czestochowa Rakow Czestochowa POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Widzew Lodz
2-3
AWAY Rakow Czestochowa
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Widzew Lodz vs Rakow Czestochowa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rakow Czestochowa squeezed past Widzew Lodz 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Rakow Czestochowa made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Widzew Lodz had 42% of the ball to Rakow Czestochowa's 58%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rakow Czestochowa led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.25 goals for Widzew Lodz and 1.00 for Rakow Czestochowa.

What was the final score of Widzew Lodz vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Widzew Lodz 2-3 Rakow Czestochowa in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 30/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Widzew Lodz vs Rakow Czestochowa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rakow Czestochowa win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Widzew Lodz 30%, draw 32%, Rakow Czestochowa 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rakow Czestochowa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
30 Nov 2024
16:45 Slask Wroclaw vs Puszcza Niepolomice Analysis →
19:30 Katowice vs Lechia Gdansk Analysis →