Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Korona Kielce — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.9pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 30%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +6%
1.68/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.14
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 79%
26.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
17.5 Crosses 17.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gornik Zabrze
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Korona Kielce
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.70 xG 0.75
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
371 Passes 292
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.12.2024 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 2-4 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
19.02.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-1 HT 2-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
12.08.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.04.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
18.09.2022 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
19.06.2020 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-2 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gornik Zabrze
1-1
AWAY Korona Kielce
1.09 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 19
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 9
399 Passes 277
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze and Korona Kielce couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gornik Zabrze at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Gornik Zabrze had 58% of the ball to Korona Kielce's 42%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.09 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Gornik Zabrze and 1.17 for Korona Kielce.

What was the final score of Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce?

Gornik Zabrze 1-1 Korona Kielce in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gornik Zabrze vs Korona Kielce?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gornik Zabrze 45%, draw 26%, Korona Kielce 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gornik Zabrze), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL More Poland - Ekstraklasa
24 May 2025
18:30 Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Analysis →
18:30 Lech Poznan vs Piast Gliwice Analysis →
18:30 Lechia Gdansk vs Katowice Analysis →
18:30 Radomiak Radom vs Motor Lublin Analysis →
18:30 Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Pogon Szczecin Analysis →
18:30 Rakow Czestochowa vs Widzew Lodz Analysis →