Korona Kielce 2-4 Gornik Zabrze — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 1 Dec 2024

Korona Kielce
2-4 HT 0-0
Gornik Zabrze
📅01/12/2024 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.71
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.43
6+ Goals
9%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.91
1/2
5%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
10%
5.39
X/2
13%
5.46
X/X
15%
4.09
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
19%
3.98
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.1pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Korona Kielce v Gornik Zabrze — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Korona Kielce EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Gornik Zabrze EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.53/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.19
-12% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
319 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
24.6 Crosses 17.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4

Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Korona Kielce
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.80 xG 1.44
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
289 Passes 354
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.02.2024 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-1 HT 2-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
12.08.2023 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-1 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
06.04.2023 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 1-1 HT 0-1 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
18.09.2022 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 1-2 HT 1-1 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL
19.06.2020 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze 3-2 HT 1-0 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce POL
08.02.2020 Korona Kielce Korona Kielce 0-0 HT 0-0 Gornik Zabrze Gornik Zabrze POL

Korona Kielce 2-4 Gornik Zabrze — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Korona Kielce
2-4
AWAY Gornik Zabrze
0.57 xG 2.74
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 5
307 Passes 453
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 33
18 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gornik Zabrze saw off Korona Kielce 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Gornik Zabrze found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Korona Kielce had 43% of the ball to Gornik Zabrze's 57%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.57 to 2.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gornik Zabrze led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Korona Kielce and 1.67 for Gornik Zabrze.

What was the final score of Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?

Korona Kielce 2-4 Gornik Zabrze in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gornik Zabrze win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Korona Kielce 34%, draw 29%, Gornik Zabrze 37%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gornik Zabrze) ✗ Under 2.5
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