Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Szczecin v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
2-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
1-0
HT 1-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
1-2
HT 1-1
Pogon Szczecin
POL
Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin and Jagiellonia Bialystok couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Pogon Szczecin at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 41% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 59%, shots finished 17-14, expected goals 2.54 to 0.91.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 1.17 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Pogon Szczecin 1-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 47%, draw 27%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), BTTS No went the other way.