Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Pogon Szczecin v Jagiellonia Bialystok — Team-Based Signals
Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
2-0
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
1-0
HT 1-0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
1-2
HT 1-1
Pogon Szczecin
POL
4-1
HT 2-1
Jagiellonia Bialystok
POL
0-1
HT 0-0
Pogon Szczecin
POL
Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok — Actual Match Statistics
Pogon Szczecin squeezed past Jagiellonia Bialystok 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) promised a tight game; Pogon Szczecin found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Pogon Szczecin had 48% of the ball to Jagiellonia Bialystok's 52%, shots finished 20-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Szczecin had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Pogon Szczecin and 0.83 for Jagiellonia Bialystok.
What was the final score of Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Pogon Szczecin 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok in the Poland - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Pogon Szczecin vs Jagiellonia Bialystok?
Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Szczecin win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Pogon Szczecin 40%, draw 29%, Jagiellonia Bialystok 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Szczecin), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.