Wisla Krakow 2-1 Piast Gliwice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Cup, 3 Apr 2024

Wisla Krakow
2-1 HT 2-0
Piast Gliwice
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Poland - Cup – 2023/2024

Wisla Krakow vs Piast Gliwice Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.53
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.09
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
16.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.79 — our 25% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.93
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.45
X/1
11%
5.59
X/2
20%
5.27
X/X
18%
4.47
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
13%
3.6
2/X
5%
13.4
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
36%
-6.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
40%
Away Win
37%
+2.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.7pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Wisla Krakow v Piast Gliwice — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Piast Gliwice EU Bookmakers 40%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.99/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.85
+71% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.8 Yellow Cards 4.0

Wisla Krakow vs Piast Gliwice Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Piast Gliwice
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.79 xG 2.15
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
356 Passes 297
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.04.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2-2 HT 1-0 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
01.10.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
16.05.2021 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 2-3 HT 1-3 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
31.01.2021 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 3-4 HT 3-2 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL
30.05.2020 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice 4-0 HT 2-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
18.10.2019 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-2 HT 0-1 Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice POL

Wisla Krakow 2-1 Piast Gliwice — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
2-1
AWAY Piast Gliwice
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Piast Gliwice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow squeezed past Piast Gliwice 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (30% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Wisla Krakow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 49% of the ball to Piast Gliwice's 51%, shots finished 4-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Piast Gliwice led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Wisla Krakow and 2.50 for Piast Gliwice.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Piast Gliwice?

Wisla Krakow 2-1 Piast Gliwice in the Poland - Cup on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Piast Gliwice?

Before kick-off our model rated an Piast Gliwice win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 30%, draw 31%, Piast Gliwice 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Piast Gliwice) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Piast Gliwice) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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