Lechia Gdansk 2-3 Katowice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 24 May 2025

📅24/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.2pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Katowice EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.69/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.55
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
21.2 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lechia Gdansk
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Katowice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.70
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
312 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 39
24 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2024 Katowice Katowice 2-0 HT 2-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL
07.04.2024 Katowice Katowice 1-0 HT 0-0 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk POL1
22.09.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 5-1 HT 1-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lechia Gdansk
2-3
AWAY Katowice
2.27 xG 1.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
322 Passes 400
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
30 Box Touches 27
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Lechia Gdansk vs Katowice
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Katowice edged past Lechia Gdansk 3-2 away from home in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24 May 2025. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Lechia Gdansk had 46% of the ball to Katowice's 54%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.27 to 1.70.

Across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katowice lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lechia Gdansk and 1.33 for Katowice.

What was the final score of Lechia Gdansk vs Katowice?

Lechia Gdansk 2-3 Katowice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 24/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lechia Gdansk vs Katowice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lechia Gdansk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lechia Gdansk 46%, draw 23%, Katowice 31%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lechia Gdansk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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