Katowice 1-0 Lechia Gdansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.09
6+ Goals
10%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katowice EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Lechia Gdansk EU Bookmakers 37%
+10% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.58/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.42
+11% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
230 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katowice
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lechia Gdansk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
22.09.2023 Lechia Gdansk Lechia Gdansk 5-1 HT 1-1 Katowice Katowice POL1
POST-MATCH Katowice vs Lechia Gdansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katowice nicked a narrow win over Lechia Gdansk 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Katowice as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Katowice vs Lechia Gdansk?

Katowice 1-0 Lechia Gdansk in the Poland - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katowice vs Lechia Gdansk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Katowice win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Katowice 43%, draw 26%, Lechia Gdansk 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Katowice), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Katowice) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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