Wisla Krakow 1-3 Motor Lublin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒13:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
28%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.94
2-3 Goals
44%
1.84
4-5 Goals
22%
3.14
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.7pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
20%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Motor Lublin EU Bookmakers 23%
-9% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
1.90/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.02
+18% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +49%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Krakow
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Motor Lublin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 1
23.09.2023 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-4 HT 0-2 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
09.11.2022 Motor Lublin Motor Lublin 1-0 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
1-3
AWAY Motor Lublin
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Motor Lublin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motor Lublin beat Wisla Krakow 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Krakow at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 53% of the ball to Motor Lublin's 47%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wisla Krakow and 1.00 for Motor Lublin.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Motor Lublin?

Wisla Krakow 1-3 Motor Lublin in the Poland - 1st Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Motor Lublin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 48%, draw 24%, Motor Lublin 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wisla Krakow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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