Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Cracovia Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 18 Feb 2024

Zaglebie Lubin
1-1 HT 1-0
Cracovia Krakow
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2023/2024

Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.78
Over 2.5
44%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.02
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 30% vs market 27.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.36
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
12%
13.15
X/1
15%
5.0
X/2
10%
5.83
X/X
10%
4.36
2/1
7%
28.0
2/2
15%
4.18
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.6pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.8pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zaglebie Lubin v Cracovia Krakow — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +4%
1.43/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.94
-4% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 72%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.3 Crosses 18.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.31 xG 1.36
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
357 Passes 279
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POLK
11.08.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
13.05.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
30.10.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
18.04.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
24.10.2021 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL

Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Cracovia Krakow — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zaglebie Lubin
1-1
AWAY Cracovia Krakow
0.75 xG 2.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
285 Passes 317
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zaglebie Lubin and Cracovia Krakow shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Zaglebie Lubin had 48% of the ball to Cracovia Krakow's 52%, shots finished 13-19, expected goals 0.75 to 2.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zaglebie Lubin and 1.17 for Cracovia Krakow.

What was the final score of Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow?

Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 Cracovia Krakow in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zaglebie Lubin vs Cracovia Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zaglebie Lubin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zaglebie Lubin 39%, draw 30%, Cracovia Krakow 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zaglebie Lubin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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