Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 29 Nov 2024

Cracovia Krakow
1-1 HT 1-0
Zaglebie Lubin
📅29/11/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Poland - Ekstraklasa – 2024/2025

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.85
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
12%
11.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.56
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
10%
4.54
X/2
10%
8.02
X/X
11%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
23.4
2/2
13%
5.71
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.4 — our 12% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.8pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cracovia Krakow v Zaglebie Lubin — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cracovia Krakow EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin EU Bookmakers 29%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -2%
1.45/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.75
+23% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 72%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
24.4 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cracovia Krakow
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.70 xG 1.14
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
280 Passes 356
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
26 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
18.02.2024 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 1-1 HT 1-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
02.11.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-0 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POLK
11.08.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 2-1 HT 2-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
13.05.2023 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL
30.10.2022 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin 0-2 HT 0-0 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow POL
18.04.2022 Cracovia Krakow Cracovia Krakow 1-0 HT 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin Zaglebie Lubin POL

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cracovia Krakow
1-1
AWAY Zaglebie Lubin
2.60 xG 1.13
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
431 Passes 232
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
36 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cracovia Krakow and Zaglebie Lubin couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Cracovia Krakow at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Cracovia Krakow had 61% of the ball to Zaglebie Lubin's 39%, shots finished 20-13, expected goals 2.60 to 1.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cracovia Krakow had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cracovia Krakow and 0.50 for Zaglebie Lubin.

What was the final score of Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Cracovia Krakow 1-1 Zaglebie Lubin in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 29/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cracovia Krakow vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cracovia Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Cracovia Krakow 45%, draw 27%, Zaglebie Lubin 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cracovia Krakow), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cracovia Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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