Estoril U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 3 Feb 2026

📅03/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.66
No
40%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
56%
+3.5pp
40%
BTTS No
44%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.52/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.57
-11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
0-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 nicked a narrow win over Estoril U23 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Estoril U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 65% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 35%, shots finished 22-8.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Estoril U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 42%, draw 23%, Rio Ave U23 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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