Estrela U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 3 Feb 2026

📅03/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
38%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
43%
-6.6pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
38%
Away Win
32%
+6.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.62/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.83
-4% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estrela U23
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
22.04.2025 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 0-2 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 PORU23
11.02.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 0-1 HT 0-0 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
27.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 3-3 HT 0-2 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
1-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 and Gil Vicente U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 36% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 64%, shots finished 9-19.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Estrela U23 and 1.67 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Estrela U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 03/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 36%, draw 25%, Gil Vicente U23 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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