Gil Vicente U23 0-1 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.82
Over 2.5
54%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-4.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+5.1pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.68/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-9% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +66%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gil Vicente U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
27.02.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 3-3 HT 0-2 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gil Vicente U23
0-1
AWAY Estrela U23
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 nicked a narrow win over Gil Vicente U23 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Estrela U23 made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gil Vicente U23 had 59% of the ball to Estrela U23's 41%, shots finished 19-12.

What was the final score of Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela U23?

Gil Vicente U23 0-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gil Vicente U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gil Vicente U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gil Vicente U23 39%, draw 29%, Estrela U23 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gil Vicente U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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