Rio Ave U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.76
No
57%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.6pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-9.5pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+9.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
3.08/2.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+103% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +51%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
26.11.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
28.08.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 4-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
04.03.2024 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 3-2 HT 0-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 PORU23
16.01.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
1-1
AWAY Leixoes U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 and Leixoes U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 30% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 49% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 51%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rio Ave U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Rio Ave U23 and 1.00 for Leixoes U23.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Rio Ave U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 38%, draw 30%, Leixoes U23 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rio Ave U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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