Rio Ave U23 3-2 Leixoes U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
51%
-13.0pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.5pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 28%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.97/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/3.00
-49% / -64% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
375 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Leixoes U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 4
16.01.2024 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
3-2
AWAY Leixoes U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 edged past Leixoes U23 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Rio Ave U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 54% of the ball to Leixoes U23's 46%, shots finished 15-7.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Rio Ave U23 3-2 Leixoes U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Leixoes U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 38%, draw 29%, Leixoes U23 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
4 Mar 2024
14:00 Farense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23 Analysis →
14:00 Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23 Analysis →
18:00 Academico Viseu U23 vs Mafra U23 Analysis →