Farense U23 1-1 Sporting Braga U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+5.7pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.6pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farense U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -46%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farense U23
1-1
AWAY Sporting Braga U23
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Farense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Farense U23 and Sporting Braga U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Sporting Braga U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Farense U23 had 44% of the ball to Sporting Braga U23's 56%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Farense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Farense U23 1-1 Sporting Braga U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farense U23 vs Sporting Braga U23?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Farense U23 35%, draw 22%, Sporting Braga U23 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sporting Braga U23) ✓ Under 2.5
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