Academico Viseu U23 1-6 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
23%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.97
Over 2.5
39%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.75
No
60%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
22%
+1.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
47%
+14.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
53%
-14.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-13.4pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Academico Viseu U23 EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 25%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
3.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+55% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
412 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Academico Viseu U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
17.01.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 0-1 HT 0-1 Academico Viseu U23 Academico Viseu U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Academico Viseu U23
1-6
AWAY Mafra U23
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Academico Viseu U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra U23 cruised past Academico Viseu U23 6-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Academico Viseu U23 at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Academico Viseu U23 had 51% of the ball to Mafra U23's 49%, shots finished 4-18.

What was the final score of Academico Viseu U23 vs Mafra U23?

Academico Viseu U23 1-6 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Academico Viseu U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Academico Viseu U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Academico Viseu U23 54%, draw 23%, Mafra U23 23%. The final score 1-6 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Academico Viseu U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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