Santa Clara U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 4 Mar 2024

📅04/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.0
Over 2.5
52%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
24%
Away Win
29%
-4.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
3.48/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.50
+91% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Clara U23
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Portimonense U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
16.01.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-1 HT 0-1 Santa Clara U23 Santa Clara U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Clara U23
1-0
AWAY Portimonense U23
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 1
7 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Clara U23 squeezed past Portimonense U23 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Santa Clara U23 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Santa Clara U23 had 65% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 35%, shots finished 14-1.

What was the final score of Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Santa Clara U23 1-0 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 04/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Clara U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara U23 45%, draw 30%, Portimonense U23 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Santa Clara U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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