Portimonense U23 1-1 Santa Clara U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
30%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
Over 2.5
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
34%
+11.7pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
38%
-7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara U23 EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-1
AWAY Santa Clara U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 and Santa Clara U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Portimonense U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 45% of the ball to Santa Clara U23's 55%, shots finished 9-10.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Portimonense U23 1-1 Santa Clara U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Santa Clara U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 46%, draw 24%, Santa Clara U23 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Portimonense U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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