Leixoes U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
-59% / -59% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-81% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-1
AWAY Rio Ave U23
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Rio Ave U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 and Rio Ave U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leixoes U23 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 52% of the ball to Rio Ave U23's 48%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Leixoes U23 1-1 Rio Ave U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Rio Ave U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 42%, draw 26%, Rio Ave U23 32%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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