Estoril U23 1-1 Estrela U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 16 Jan 2024

📅16/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.64
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
Over 2.5
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.5
No
42%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
49%
-10.1pp
32%
Draw
24%
+7.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
62%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS No
38%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estoril U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Estrela U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
19.09.2023 Estrela U23 Estrela U23 1-2 HT 1-0 Estoril U23 Estoril U23 UŞGB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
1-1
AWAY Estrela U23
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 and Estrela U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 32% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 50% of the ball to Estrela U23's 50%, shots finished 10-8.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Estoril U23 1-1 Estrela U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 16/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Estrela U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 38%, draw 32%, Estrela U23 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estoril U23) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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