Portimonense U23 1-1 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 11 Feb 2025

📅11/02/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.74
Over 2.5
38%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
54%
+8.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
46%
-8.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.2pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.71/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/2.13
-58% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -24%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
306 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 UŞGB
20.08.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 1-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 UŞGB
15.04.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 2-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-1
AWAY Mafra U23
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 and Mafra U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (59%) missed.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 55% of the ball to Mafra U23's 45%, shots finished 10-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Portimonense U23 and 0.50 for Mafra U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Portimonense U23 1-1 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 38%, draw 28%, Mafra U23 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Portimonense U23), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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