Portimonense U23 1-0 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 20 Aug 2024

📅20/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-62% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
364 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense U23
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Mafra U23
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.04.2024 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 1-2 HT 0-1 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 PORU23
13.02.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 2-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
1-0
AWAY Mafra U23
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 edged past Mafra U23 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Portimonense U23 as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 54% of the ball to Mafra U23's 46%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Portimonense U23 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Portimonense U23 and 0.50 for Mafra U23.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Portimonense U23 1-0 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 20/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 42%, draw 27%, Mafra U23 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense U23), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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UŞGB More Portugal - U23 National Championship
20 Aug 2024
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