Mafra U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 37%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/3.05
-42% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -51%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
307 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra U23
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Portimonense U23
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.02.2024 Portimonense U23 Portimonense U23 2-0 Mafra U23 Mafra U23 PORU23
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra U23
1-2
AWAY Portimonense U23
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mafra U23 vs Portimonense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 edged past Mafra U23 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Portimonense U23 made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Mafra U23 had 62% of the ball to Portimonense U23's 38%, shots finished 16-10.

What was the final score of Mafra U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Mafra U23 1-2 Portimonense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra U23 vs Portimonense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mafra U23 37%, draw 30%, Portimonense U23 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mafra U23), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
PORU23 More Portugal - U23 National Championship
15 Apr 2024
19:00 Sporting Braga U23 vs Academico Viseu U23 Analysis →