Portimonense U23 2-0 Mafra U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
37%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
37%
Away Win
24%
+14.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.9pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mafra U23 EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / -55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
379 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense U23
2-0
AWAY Mafra U23
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portimonense U23 vs Mafra U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portimonense U23 beat Mafra U23 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Portimonense U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Portimonense U23 had 45% of the ball to Mafra U23's 55%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Portimonense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Portimonense U23 2-0 Mafra U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense U23 vs Mafra U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portimonense U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Portimonense U23 43%, draw 20%, Mafra U23 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portimonense U23) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portimonense U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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