Estrela U23 1-1 Torreense U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 13 Feb 2024

📅13/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
44%
+2.0pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.4pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estrela U23 EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense U23 EU Bookmakers 32%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estrela U23
1-1
AWAY Torreense U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Estrela U23 vs Torreense U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estrela U23 and Torreense U23 shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Estrela U23 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Estrela U23 had 49% of the ball to Torreense U23's 51%, shots finished 15-9.

What was the final score of Estrela U23 vs Torreense U23?

Estrela U23 1-1 Torreense U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 13/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estrela U23 vs Torreense U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estrela U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Estrela U23 46%, draw 23%, Torreense U23 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Estrela U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estrela U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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